Most likely, the only continent to be affected will be Antarctica, and perhaps its coast. Geophysicists at the University of Chicago are studying the iceberg motions.

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The last iceberg that broke off the Ross Ice Shelf was in 1987 and was about 1/2 the size of this one. It wandered to the west very slowly and eventualy moved north and around Cape Adare and continued west while it slowly melted. I expect this iceberg to follow the same track. I also expect it to break into two or three pieces. There are places in the Ross Sea that are shallow enough that the ice berg will hang up on them before getting to McMurdo Sound.

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On the night of April 14th, the sea was unusually calm, and there was no moon. With no waves breaking against the berg, it was difficult to see. In addition, the binoculars for the lookouts had been misplaced before the ship departed Southampton. There are conflicting reports on this matter. However, there are a few things to keep in mind when pondering this question.

B-15 stretches from about 165W to 177W and is in the eastern part of the Ross Ice Shelf, on the same side as Marie Byrd Land.

My understanding is that icebergs from the Arctic are much smaller as they are often a result of glacier fragmentation. The Antarctic one appears to be somewhat different in origin. Am I correct in that observation This iceberg broke from an ice shelf, which is a little different than most Arctic icebergs, I suspect. Your satellite images of B-15, and B-16 are very impressive. However, there is no representation of scale. 295 x 37 km is obviously very, very big..

Small bergs a few miles across are very common and we have a large one like 100 miles long about every 10 to 15 years. The last one to break off of the Ross Ice Shelf was in 1987 and was about 1/2 the size of this one

I'm not sure we will see any direct effects. This event is slow in unfolding as well-it will take months to years to melt this iceberg.

Since it is already floating in the ocean, it will not add to the sea level, even if it did melt overnight. Are you aware of any models of sea level rise have been developed as a function of this iceberg's eventual melt. I am actually quite interested in models of glacial melt predictions over time. Actually, this iceberg is not expected to cause any significant sea level rises at all.

Scientists think it will certainly break up but are not sure when. A New Zealand scientist said, "B9 took 22 months if you discount that piece of thin shelf starting life as multiyear fast ice at its eastern end. B9 was generally thicker but had a big N-S rift in it (Kainan Bay). B-15 is 100-350m thick with an unsustainable length -width ratio but it may stay side on to the swell for a while yet and these will be dampened by the forming pack.

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It has broken free already, but it hasn't moved out of its "parking spot" yet (April 25, 2000). It could drift a fair distance, but it will be a very slow process, lasting months to more likely years.

I'd like to find out whether there are, in fact, other factors involved besides global warming and, if so, how much of an influence these other factors might be in what takes place and in what you predict might take place. The primary factor in iceberg generation is that it is a part of the hydrological cycle. Snow (and not that much) falls on the steep and high continent of Antarctica.